Most institutional risk frameworks were built for stable systems. The 2030+ horizon is not stable. Compound transitions across technology, climate, governance, and social systems create non-stationary risk environments that traditional frameworks cannot model.
The Institute's Planetary Futures work develops scenario architectures and institutional risk frameworks for non-stationary environments. This is not climate forecasting or geopolitical risk analysis in the conventional sense. It is the question of how institutions organize themselves to navigate uncertainty that compounds rather than resolves.