Most institutional risk frameworks assume a stable world. The 2030s will not be stable. Compounding transitions across technology, climate, governance, and social systems produce risk environments that traditional, point-estimate frameworks cannot model.
Our Planetary Futures work builds scenario architectures and risk frameworks for non-stationary environments. This is not climate forecasting or conventional geopolitical risk analysis. It is the question of how institutions organize themselves to navigate uncertainty that compounds rather than resolves.
First outputs scheduled across Q3 and Q4 2026. See the research agenda for current scoping under this pillar.